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We create holidays and educated-led and wildlife group tours to over one hundred places worldwide. Many economists have hypothesized that enterprise cycles are the results of the politically motivated use of macroeconomic policies (financial and monetary policies) which might be designed to serve the interest of politicians operating for re-election. The idea of political business cycles is predicated on the assumption that elected officers (the president, members of Congress, governors, and many others.) have a tendency to engineer expansionary macroeconomic policies as a way to aid their re-election efforts.
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The business cycle starts from a trough (lower level) and passes by a recovery phase adopted by a period of expansion (higher turning point) and prosperity. After the peak point is reached there is a declining part of recession followed by a depression.
It follows that each recessionâ€”like an sad family in Leo Tolsty’s Anna Kareninaâ€”is sad in its personal method.â€ Each cycleâ€ is the result of a set of distinctive circumstances and shocks. This very highly effective thought explains lots of the mystery of business cyclesâ€”particularly the truth that recessions seem to be nearly completely unpredictable.
The late-cycle phase has had a mean period of roughly a 12 months and a half, and overall inventory market performance has averaged somewhat over 5% on an annualized basis. Because the economic recovery matures, the vitality and supplies sectors, whose fate is closely tied to the costs of raw supplies, beforehand have performed well as inflationary pressures build and the late-cycle financial growth helps maintain strong demand (see chart).